[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"blog-article-poker-outs-rule-of-2-and-4-en":3,"mdc--obzvw2-key":63},{"id":4,"slug":5,"status":6,"section":7,"category":8,"author":9,"publish_date":10,"read_time":11,"image":12,"embedded_components":13,"related_calculators":13,"related_articles":14,"title":15,"description":16,"keywords":17,"content":25,"faq":26,"availableLocales":60},"d0c34b47-f3d9-4470-90d3-4327c0735404","poker-outs-rule-of-2-and-4","published","poker","strategies","Evgeniy Volkov","2026-07-04",13,"\u002Fimages\u002Fblog\u002Fpoker-outs-rule-of-2-and-4.webp","[]",[],"Poker Outs & the Rule of 2 and 4: Full Chart (2026)","Poker outs made simple: count your outs, use the rule of 2 and 4 to turn them into equity, and read the full outs-to-odds chart. Free calculator (2026).",[18,19,20,21,22,23,24],"poker outs","how to count outs in poker","rule of 2 and 4","rule of 4 and 2","poker outs chart","outs to equity","what are outs in poker","# Poker Outs and the Rule of 2 and 4: Count Your Equity Fast (2026)\n\nThe flop. You are holding 8♥7♥ and the board is Q♥9♥2♠. A pretty flush draw. Your opponent bets half the pot, and it comes down to one simple question: call or fold?\n\nThe answer hides in a single number, how many cards in the deck make your hand. Those are your outs. Count the outs, turn them into a percentage, compare that to the price of the pot, and the decision takes a couple of seconds. No guessing, no \"well, it'll probably get there.\"\n\nOver the next 10 minutes you will learn to count outs in any hand, turn them into equity with the Rule of 2 and 4, read the full outs chart, and, most importantly, understand when an \"out\" is not really an out at all. By the end you will have an [outs calculator](\u002Fpoker\u002Fouts-calculator) on hand to check yourself. As of 2026 this is still the most basic skill that separates a casual player from a thinking one.\n\n## TL;DR: Outs and Equity at a Glance\n\nNo time to read it all? Here is the short version.\n\n### The Key Numbers Worth Memorizing\n\n| Draw | Outs | Equity by river (flop) | Equity on next card |\n|---|---:|---:|---:|\n| Gutshot (inside straight draw) | 4 | ~16% | ~8% |\n| Two overcards | 6 | ~24% | ~13% |\n| Open-ended straight draw | 8 | ~32% | ~17% |\n| Flush draw | 9 | ~35% | ~19% |\n| Flush draw + gutshot | 12 | ~45% | ~26% |\n| Flush draw + open-ended (combo) | 15 | ~54% | ~33% |\n\nThe rule in one line: **on the flop, multiply your outs by 4; on the turn, by 2.** That is your equity estimate in percent. Everything else in this article is about how not to break that rule.\n\n## What Is an Out in Poker?\n\nAn out is a card that improves your hand to a likely winner. Nothing complicated. You hold four cards to a flush, so any fifth card of that suit completes it. Each of those cards is one out.\n\nA suit holds 13 cards. Two are in your hand, two are on the board, so four are already visible. Nine are left in the deck. There are your 9 outs on a flush draw, and it is a number worth memorizing because it shows up in every other hand.\n\n### Outs Are Not Your Equity Yet\n\nA subtle point that trips up new players. Outs and [equity](\u002Fglossary\u002Fpoker\u002Fequity) are not the same thing. Outs are a count of cards. Equity is the share of the pot that is mathematically yours right now, across all the cards still to come. You convert outs into equity, you do not treat them as equal.\n\nAnd one more thing: an out only works if it actually gives you the best hand. A card that makes you a second pair against an opponent who already has a set is not an out, it is a trap. We come back to this in the dirty outs section, because that is where half of all lost pots hide.\n\n## How to Count Your Outs\n\nThe mechanic is simple and always the same:\n\n1. Decide which hand you need to make to win.\n2. Count how many cards in the deck give you that hand.\n\nOne number to keep in your head: **on the flop, 47 cards are unseen** (52 minus your two minus three on the board), **on the turn, 46**. The exact math flows from that (the academic write-up lives in the [Out (poker)](https:\u002F\u002Fen.wikipedia.org\u002Fwiki\u002FOut_(poker)) article on Wikipedia), but for a fast read the Rule of 2 and 4 is enough.\n\n### Flush Draws, Straight Draws, Pairs and Overcards\n\nLet us run through the common draws so the counts become automatic:\n\n- **Flush draw, 9 outs.** 13 cards of the suit minus 4 you can see.\n- **Open-ended straight draw (OESD), 8 outs.** Hold 9♠8♠ on 7♦6♣2♥: four tens and four fives complete you.\n- **[Gutshot](\u002Fglossary\u002Fpoker\u002Fouts) (inside straight draw), 4 outs.** You need exactly one card in the hole. Hold 9♠8♠ on 7♦5♣2♥: only four sixes fill it.\n- **Two overcards, 6 outs.** A♦K♦ on a dry flop: three aces and three kings give you top pair.\n- **A pocket pair to a set, 2 outs.** The two remaining cards of your rank.\n- **A set to a full house or quads, 7 outs** on the turn.\n\n### Combo Draws Without Double-Counting\n\nHere is the trap that makes people overvalue hands. A flush draw (9) plus an open-ended straight draw (8) is **15 outs, not 17**. Two cards complete both the straight and the flush of that suit, and you cannot count them twice. Always subtract the overlap: list every card first, then remove the duplicates.\n\nDo not want to count in your head? Punch the hand into the [outs calculator](\u002Fpoker\u002Fouts-calculator) and it shows your outs and equity on the spot.\n\nIf you would rather watch than read, here is a short breakdown of counting outs and the Rule of 2 and 4:\n\n::lazy-youtube\n---\nidEn: _OFM3AAcBD8\nidRu: 4NDxy7CfIYs\ntitle: \"How to count outs and use the Rule of 2 and 4\"\n---\n::\n\n### Backdoor (Runner-Runner) Outs\n\nA backdoor is a draw that needs two cards in a row: two hearts on the turn and the river, say. On its own it is weak, but not zero. A working rule of thumb: a backdoor flush or straight draw is worth about **1.5 outs of equivalent**, roughly 3 to 4% of extra equity. Small, but when you have overcards plus a couple of backdoors, those percentage points are often what turns a call profitable.\n\n## The Rule of 2 and 4\n\nPros do not compute exact math at the table. They use a shortcut they call the Rule of 2 and 4 (or, the same thing, the Rule of 4 and 2).\n\n### Flop (x4) and Turn (x2)\n\n- **On the flop** (two cards to come, turn and river): multiply your outs by 4.\n- **On the turn** (one card to come, the river): multiply your outs by 2.\n\nFlush draw on the flop: 9 x 4 = 36%. The exact figure is 34.97%, so the miss is under a percent. Open-ended straight draw on the turn: 8 x 2 = 16%. Fast, in your head, accurate enough to make the decision.\n\nWhy 4 and 2, and not something else? Because each out is worth roughly 2% per remaining card (loosely: one out of about 47 to 48 unseen is about 2%). One card to come, multiplier 2. Two cards to come, twice the chance, multiplier 4.\n\n### The Correction for More Than 8 Outs\n\nHere is what half the guides leave out: **on the flop, multiplying by 4 overshoots when you have a lot of outs.** The reason is that x4 acts as if it adds the chances of two cards, but they are dependent. If an out arrives on the turn, it is no longer in the deck for the river.\n\nThe correction is simple:\n\n$$\\text{Equity} \\approx (\\text{outs} \\times 4) - (\\text{outs} - 8)$$\n\nIn plain words: work it out by the Rule of 4, then subtract one percent for every out above eight. For a 15-out combo draw: 15 x 4 = 60, minus 7 = 53%. The exact figure is 54.1%. Without the correction you would think you had 60% and overvalue the hand by seven points.\n\n#### Why x4 Overshoots (Solomon's Rule)\n\nEnglish-language sources call this same correction Solomon's Rule: \"above eight outs, subtract 1% for each extra out.\" Different name, same arithmetic. It works because it roughly offsets the dependence between the turn and the river. Below eight outs the correction is not needed, x4 is already accurate there.\n\n### How Accurate Is It, Really?\n\nHonestly: the Rule of 2 and 4 is an approximation, not gospel. Up to about 8 outs the error is within 1% and you can ignore it. On 9 to 14 outs the Rule of 4 runs a few percent high, so switch on the correction. On 15+ outs, either use x3.5 on the flop or check the exact chart below. For a decision at the table this is plenty, fractions of a percent do not flip a call.\n\n## The Complete Outs-to-Equity Chart\n\nHere is the table worth reading for. The exact percentages come from the [poker draw probability formula](https:\u002F\u002Fen.wikipedia.org\u002Fwiki\u002FPoker_probability), not eyeballed, and they are cross-checked against the Rule of 2 and 4 plus the correction. If you want to double-check the numbers against an independent source, [Wizard of Odds](https:\u002F\u002Fwizardofodds.com\u002Fgames\u002Ftexas-hold-em\u002F) has detailed Texas Hold'em tables.\n\n::chart-generic\n---\ntype: bar\ntitle: Equity by out count (flop to river)\nlabels: [\"2\", \"3\", \"4\", \"6\", \"8\", \"9\", \"12\", \"15\", \"21\"]\ndata: [8, 13, 17, 24, 31, 35, 45, 54, 70]\nyLabel: \"Equity, %\"\nxLabel: \"Outs\"\nheight: 320\n---\n::\n\n| Outs | Example draw | Flop to river (exact) | Rule x4 | Corrected (>8) | Turn to river (x2) |\n|---:|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|\n| 1 | one card to the hand | 4.3% | 4 | — | 2.2% |\n| 2 | pocket pair to a set | 8.4% | 8 | — | 4.3% |\n| 3 | backdoor gutshot (approx) | 12.5% | 12 | — | 6.5% |\n| 4 | gutshot | 16.5% | 16 | — | 8.7% |\n| 5 | pair to two pair\u002Ftrips | 20.3% | 20 | — | 10.9% |\n| 6 | two overcards | 24.1% | 24 | — | 13.0% |\n| 7 | set to a full house | 27.8% | 28 | — | 15.2% |\n| 8 | open-ended straight draw | 31.5% | 32 | 32 | 17.4% |\n| 9 | flush draw | 35.0% | 36 | 35 | 19.6% |\n| 10 | straight draw + overcard (approx) | 38.4% | 40 | 38 | 21.7% |\n| 11 | flush + backdoor (approx) | 41.7% | 44 | 41 | 23.9% |\n| 12 | flush draw + gutshot | 45.0% | 48 | 44 | 26.1% |\n| 13 | flush + pair (approx) | 48.1% | 52 | 47 | 28.3% |\n| 14 | flush + straight, minus overlap (approx) | 51.2% | 56 | 50 | 30.4% |\n| 15 | flush draw + open-ended (combo) | 54.1% | 60 | 53 | 32.6% |\n| 21 | monster (straight-flush draw + overcards) | 69.9% | 84 | 71 | 45.7% |\n\n### Reading the Chart at the Table\n\nDo not try to memorize the whole table. Memorize the anchors: **gutshot 4 ≈ 16%, open-ended 8 ≈ 32%, flush 9 ≈ 35%, combo 15 ≈ 54%.** You interpolate between them by eye. The \"corrected\" column is for when you have a lot of outs and the Rule of 4 starts to lie. The exact column only matters when the decision is marginal and every percent counts.\n\n## Clean vs Dirty Outs: Discount Before You Count\n\nThe most expensive mistake in counting outs is treating every out as clean. A dirty (or tainted) out improves your hand but also hands your opponent a bigger one. Formally it is an out, in practice it is a leak on your bankroll.\n\n### A Worked Example: When 8 Outs Are Really 6\n\nYou hold T♣9♣ on a board of J♦8♦2♠. Open-ended straight draw: four sevens and four queens complete you, 8 outs, about 31.5% by the chart.\n\nBut the board is two-tone in diamonds. Two of your outs, the 7♦ and Q♦, complete your straight and at the same time put a third diamond out. If your opponent has a [diamond flush draw](\u002Fblog\u002Fpoker-hand-ranges-preflop-charts), those two cards give them a flush that beats your straight. They are dirty.\n\nDiscount them: 8 outs minus 2 dirty = 6 clean. Your equity drops from 31.5% to 24.1%. Seven percent is enough to turn a profitable call into a losing one. That is why the discount happens **before** you multiply by 4, not after.\n\nWant the exact number against a specific [opponent range](\u002Fpoker\u002Frange-builder)? Run the hand through the [equity calculator](\u002Fpoker\u002Fequity-calculator), it accounts for which cards are genuinely yours and which ones also help your opponent.\n\n## From Outs to a Decision: Outs Meet Pot Odds\n\nOuts are not the point in themselves. They exist to answer one question: call or fold. And that is where outs meet [pot odds](\u002Fglossary\u002Fpoker\u002Fpot-odds).\n\n### The One Rule That Decides It\n\nTurn your outs into equity. Work out the required equity from the price of the pot. Compare.\n\n- **Your equity is higher than required, call.**\n- **Lower, fold** (unless implied odds bridge the gap, more on that below).\n\n### Worked Hand: Flush Draw vs a Half-Pot Bet\n\nBack to 8♥7♥ on Q♥9♥2♠ from the start. Flush draw, 9 outs. The pot is $100 and your opponent bets $50 (half pot). To call, you put in $50 into a pot that becomes $200, so you need $50 \u002F $200 = **25% equity**.\n\nNow the subtle part that a lot of people confuse. If you will only see one card (the turn) and then face another decision on the turn, use the x2 rule: 9 x 2 ≈ **19%**. Nineteen is less than twenty-five, so on raw [pot odds this is a fold](\u002Fpoker\u002Fpot-odds).\n\nBut if you are all in or guaranteed to see both cards, you have about 35%, and that is an easy call against the 25% required.\n\n#### The Implied-Odds Adjustment\n\nThe gap between 19% and 25% on one card is closed by [implied odds](\u002Fglossary\u002Fpoker\u002Fimplied-odds), the money you will win on the river when the flush completes. If stacks are deep and your opponent will pay off your river, calling the flop becomes correct even when the pot odds are formally short. How to work that out step by step is in the separate breakdown of [pot odds and implied odds](\u002Fblog\u002Fpot-odds-implied-odds-poker). Outs give you equity, pot odds give you the price, implied odds give you the premium for future streets.\n\n## Common Mistakes Counting Outs\n\nOuts break down not in the arithmetic but in the carelessness. The three most expensive mistakes:\n\n### Double-Counting, Over-Counting Dirty Outs, and Ignoring Position\n\n- **Double-counting in combo draws.** 9 + 8 = 15, not 17. Overlapping cards count once.\n- **Treating dirty outs as clean.** A card that improves both you and your opponent is half an out at best. Discount it.\n- **Ignoring multiway pots.** Against three opponents your \"clean\" outs are more often dirty: for one of the three, the card hands a bigger hand. In a multiway pot, discount harder.\n- **Forgetting [position](\u002Fglossary\u002Fpoker\u002Fouts) and realization.** Out of early position you realize your draw's equity less often, you get bet off it more easily on the next street. A nominal 35% turns into less in play.\n\n### Multiway: Why Outs Get Cheaper Against Several Opponents\n\nThe Rule of 2 and 4 quietly assumes you are heads-up. In a three-way pot the math shifts, and not in your favor. Even when a card completes your hand, the chance rises that the same card gave one of the two opponents a stronger one. Your nominal 35% flush draw realizes noticeably worse: some of the run-outs that were clean heads-up are now dirty against the table's combined range.\n\nThe practical takeaway is simple. In a multiway pot, discount your outs harder and demand a better price than heads-up. A bare flush draw you happily call one on one is often a fold against three bettors, especially when one of them could hold a set drawing to a full house with your very card.\n\nOuts are the foundation, but a foundation does not win the hand alone. It works together with pot odds, [ranges](\u002Fblog\u002Fpoker-hand-ranges-preflop-charts) and position. Start counting outs honestly, with the discount and without double-counting, and half of your marginal decisions become obvious.",[27,30,33,36,39,42,45,48,51,54,57],{"answer":28,"question":29},"An out is a card that improves your hand to a likely winner. A flush draw has 9 outs, meaning 9 cards of your suit are still in the deck. The more outs you have, the higher your equity and the more often you get there.","What are outs in poker?",{"answer":31,"question":32},"Figure out which card makes your hand, then count how many of those cards are still unseen. On the flop, 47 cards are unseen; on the turn, 46. A flush draw is 9 outs, an open-ended straight draw is 8, a gutshot is 4.","How do you count outs in poker?",{"answer":34,"question":35},"A fast way to turn outs into equity. On the flop, multiply your outs by 4; on the turn, by 2. A 9-out flush draw on the flop: 9 x 4 = 36% (the exact figure is about 35%). The error stays within a couple of percent up to 8 outs.","What is the Rule of 2 and 4?",{"answer":37,"question":38},"Nine. A suit holds 13 cards; you already see four (two in hand, two on the board), so 9 are left in the deck. By the Rule of 2 and 4 that is about 35% to get there by the river and about 19% on the next card.","How many outs does a flush draw have?",{"answer":40,"question":41},"An open-ended straight draw (OESD) has 8 outs because cards on both ends complete it. A gutshot (inside straight draw) has 4 outs because you need exactly one card in the middle. That is 32% versus 16% on the flop.","How many outs does an open-ended straight draw and a gutshot have?",{"answer":43,"question":44},"A dirty out improves your hand but also hands your opponent a bigger hand. For example, a card that completes your straight while putting a third suited card out for a flush. You have to discount those outs and not count them all.","What is the difference between clean and dirty outs?",{"answer":46,"question":47},"A flush draw (9) plus an open-ended straight draw (8) is 15 outs, not 17. Two cards complete both the straight and the flush at once, so you count them once. Always subtract the overlap.","How do you count outs for a combo draw without double-counting?",{"answer":49,"question":50},"On the flop, multiplying by 4 assumes the two cards are independent, but they are not, so above 8 outs the estimate climbs too high. The fix: (outs x 4) - (outs - 8). It is also called Solomon's Rule: subtract 1% for every out above eight.","Why does the Rule of 4 overshoot on big draws and how do you fix it?",{"answer":52,"question":53},"Up to about 8 outs the error stays within 1%. On 9 to 14 outs the Rule of 4 overshoots by a few percent, so apply the correction. On 15+ outs, use x3.5 on the flop or the exact formula.","How accurate is the Rule of 2 and 4?",{"answer":55,"question":56},"Outs give you equity, and you compare that equity to the equity required by the pot odds. If your equity is higher than required, call. Facing a half-pot bet you need 25%: a bare flush draw for one card (about 19%) is a fold on raw pot odds, but implied odds can bridge it.","How do outs relate to pot odds and when should you call?",{"answer":58,"question":59},"A backdoor (runner-runner) draw is worth roughly 1.5 outs of equivalent, so it adds about 3 to 4% equity. On its own that is small, but a couple of backdoors plus overcards often turns a marginal call into a profitable one.","What are backdoor outs worth?",[61,62],"ru","en",{"data":64,"body":65},{},{"type":66,"children":67},"root",[68,77,83,88,102,108,113,120,297,310,316,321,326,332,345,350,356,361,376,405,411,416,486,492,504,515,520,527,533,545,551,556,562,585,590,595,601,613,618,882,887,894,899,905,910,916,939,949,1500,1506,1518,1524,1529,1535,1540,1553,1565,1586,1592,1605,1611,1616,1637,1643,2125,2144,2149,2155,2176,2182,2187,2193,2243,2249,2254,2259],{"type":69,"tag":70,"props":71,"children":73},"element","h2",{"id":72},"poker-outs-and-the-rule-of-2-and-4-count-your-equity-fast-2026",[74],{"type":75,"value":76},"text","Poker Outs and the Rule of 2 and 4: Count Your Equity Fast (2026)",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":79,"children":80},"p",{},[81],{"type":75,"value":82},"The flop. You are holding 8♥7♥ and the board is Q♥9♥2♠. A pretty flush draw. Your opponent bets half the pot, and it comes down to one simple question: call or fold?",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":84,"children":85},{},[86],{"type":75,"value":87},"The answer hides in a single number, how many cards in the deck make your hand. Those are your outs. Count the outs, turn them into a percentage, compare that to the price of the pot, and the decision takes a couple of seconds. No guessing, no \"well, it'll probably get there.\"",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":89,"children":90},{},[91,93,100],{"type":75,"value":92},"Over the next 10 minutes you will learn to count outs in any hand, turn them into equity with the Rule of 2 and 4, read the full outs chart, and, most importantly, understand when an \"out\" is not really an out at all. By the end you will have an ",{"type":69,"tag":94,"props":95,"children":97},"a",{"href":96},"\u002Fpoker\u002Fouts-calculator",[98],{"type":75,"value":99},"outs calculator",{"type":75,"value":101}," on hand to check yourself. As of 2026 this is still the most basic skill that separates a casual player from a thinking one.",{"type":69,"tag":70,"props":103,"children":105},{"id":104},"tldr-outs-and-equity-at-a-glance",[106],{"type":75,"value":107},"TL;DR: Outs and Equity at a Glance",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":109,"children":110},{},[111],{"type":75,"value":112},"No time to read it all? Here is the short version.",{"type":69,"tag":114,"props":115,"children":117},"h3",{"id":116},"the-key-numbers-worth-memorizing",[118],{"type":75,"value":119},"The Key Numbers Worth Memorizing",{"type":69,"tag":121,"props":122,"children":123},"table",{},[124,154],{"type":69,"tag":125,"props":126,"children":127},"thead",{},[128],{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":130,"children":131},"tr",{},[132,138,144,149],{"type":69,"tag":133,"props":134,"children":135},"th",{},[136],{"type":75,"value":137},"Draw",{"type":69,"tag":133,"props":139,"children":141},{"align":140},"right",[142],{"type":75,"value":143},"Outs",{"type":69,"tag":133,"props":145,"children":146},{"align":140},[147],{"type":75,"value":148},"Equity by river (flop)",{"type":69,"tag":133,"props":150,"children":151},{"align":140},[152],{"type":75,"value":153},"Equity on next card",{"type":69,"tag":155,"props":156,"children":157},"tbody",{},[158,182,205,228,251,274],{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":159,"children":160},{},[161,167,172,177],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":163,"children":164},"td",{},[165],{"type":75,"value":166},"Gutshot (inside straight draw)",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":168,"children":169},{"align":140},[170],{"type":75,"value":171},"4",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":173,"children":174},{"align":140},[175],{"type":75,"value":176},"~16%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":178,"children":179},{"align":140},[180],{"type":75,"value":181},"~8%",{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":183,"children":184},{},[185,190,195,200],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":186,"children":187},{},[188],{"type":75,"value":189},"Two overcards",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":191,"children":192},{"align":140},[193],{"type":75,"value":194},"6",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":196,"children":197},{"align":140},[198],{"type":75,"value":199},"~24%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":201,"children":202},{"align":140},[203],{"type":75,"value":204},"~13%",{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":206,"children":207},{},[208,213,218,223],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":209,"children":210},{},[211],{"type":75,"value":212},"Open-ended straight draw",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":214,"children":215},{"align":140},[216],{"type":75,"value":217},"8",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":219,"children":220},{"align":140},[221],{"type":75,"value":222},"~32%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":224,"children":225},{"align":140},[226],{"type":75,"value":227},"~17%",{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":229,"children":230},{},[231,236,241,246],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":232,"children":233},{},[234],{"type":75,"value":235},"Flush draw",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":237,"children":238},{"align":140},[239],{"type":75,"value":240},"9",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":242,"children":243},{"align":140},[244],{"type":75,"value":245},"~35%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":247,"children":248},{"align":140},[249],{"type":75,"value":250},"~19%",{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":252,"children":253},{},[254,259,264,269],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":255,"children":256},{},[257],{"type":75,"value":258},"Flush draw + gutshot",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":260,"children":261},{"align":140},[262],{"type":75,"value":263},"12",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":265,"children":266},{"align":140},[267],{"type":75,"value":268},"~45%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":270,"children":271},{"align":140},[272],{"type":75,"value":273},"~26%",{"type":69,"tag":129,"props":275,"children":276},{},[277,282,287,292],{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":278,"children":279},{},[280],{"type":75,"value":281},"Flush draw + open-ended (combo)",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":283,"children":284},{"align":140},[285],{"type":75,"value":286},"15",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":288,"children":289},{"align":140},[290],{"type":75,"value":291},"~54%",{"type":69,"tag":162,"props":293,"children":294},{"align":140},[295],{"type":75,"value":296},"~33%",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":298,"children":299},{},[300,302,308],{"type":75,"value":301},"The rule in one line: ",{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":304,"children":305},"strong",{},[306],{"type":75,"value":307},"on the flop, multiply your outs by 4; on the turn, by 2.",{"type":75,"value":309}," That is your equity estimate in percent. Everything else in this article is about how not to break that rule.",{"type":69,"tag":70,"props":311,"children":313},{"id":312},"what-is-an-out-in-poker",[314],{"type":75,"value":315},"What Is an Out in Poker?",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":317,"children":318},{},[319],{"type":75,"value":320},"An out is a card that improves your hand to a likely winner. Nothing complicated. You hold four cards to a flush, so any fifth card of that suit completes it. Each of those cards is one out.",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":322,"children":323},{},[324],{"type":75,"value":325},"A suit holds 13 cards. Two are in your hand, two are on the board, so four are already visible. Nine are left in the deck. 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A card that makes you a second pair against an opponent who already has a set is not an out, it is a trap. We come back to this in the dirty outs section, because that is where half of all lost pots hide.",{"type":69,"tag":70,"props":351,"children":353},{"id":352},"how-to-count-your-outs",[354],{"type":75,"value":355},"How to Count Your Outs",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":357,"children":358},{},[359],{"type":75,"value":360},"The mechanic is simple and always the same:",{"type":69,"tag":362,"props":363,"children":364},"ol",{},[365,371],{"type":69,"tag":366,"props":367,"children":368},"li",{},[369],{"type":75,"value":370},"Decide which hand you need to make to win.",{"type":69,"tag":366,"props":372,"children":373},{},[374],{"type":75,"value":375},"Count how many cards in the deck give you that hand.",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":377,"children":378},{},[379,381,386,388,393,395,403],{"type":75,"value":380},"One number to keep in your head: ",{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":382,"children":383},{},[384],{"type":75,"value":385},"on the flop, 47 cards are unseen",{"type":75,"value":387}," (52 minus your two minus three on the board), ",{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":389,"children":390},{},[391],{"type":75,"value":392},"on the turn, 46",{"type":75,"value":394},". 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Hold 9♠8♠ on 7♦5♣2♥: only four sixes fill it.",{"type":69,"tag":366,"props":457,"children":458},{},[459,464],{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":460,"children":461},{},[462],{"type":75,"value":463},"Two overcards, 6 outs.",{"type":75,"value":465}," A♦K♦ on a dry flop: three aces and three kings give you top pair.",{"type":69,"tag":366,"props":467,"children":468},{},[469,474],{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":470,"children":471},{},[472],{"type":75,"value":473},"A pocket pair to a set, 2 outs.",{"type":75,"value":475}," The two remaining cards of your rank.",{"type":69,"tag":366,"props":477,"children":478},{},[479,484],{"type":69,"tag":303,"props":480,"children":481},{},[482],{"type":75,"value":483},"A set to a full house or quads, 7 outs",{"type":75,"value":485}," on the turn.",{"type":69,"tag":114,"props":487,"children":489},{"id":488},"combo-draws-without-double-counting",[490],{"type":75,"value":491},"Combo Draws Without Double-Counting",{"type":69,"tag":78,"props":493,"children":494},{},[495,497,502],{"type":75,"value":496},"Here is the trap that makes people overvalue hands. 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