TG
term-metadata.sys
SectionBetting
Categorybet-types
DifficultyBeginner
Status
VERIFIED
Related0 terms
UpdatedFeb 2026

Octopus

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Definition

A rare NFL betting achievement where the same player scores a touchdown and the subsequent 2-point conversion (8 points).

An Octopus is a specific achievement in American Football (NFL) where the same player scores a touchdown (6 points) and immediately scores the subsequent 2-point conversion (2 points).

This results in the player scoring 8 points on a single drive. It is one of the rarest individual feats in a single game sequence.

Quick Facts

FeatureDetails
Points Scored8 (6 + 2)
Required PlayerMust be the SAME player for both plays
OriginCoined by Mitch Goldich (Sports Illustrated, 2019)
Record HolderTodd Gurley (4 career Octopuses)
FrequencyApprox. once every 25 games (~4% chance)

❌ Common Misconceptions

To avoid losing bets, understand what does NOT count:

  • Passing: A Quarterback throwing a TD and then throwing a conversion is NOT an Octopus. The receiver gets it.
  • Different Players: If Player A scores the TD, but Player B scores the conversion, it is NOT an Octopus.
  • Kicking: Kicking an extra point (1 point) never counts. It must be a 2-point conversion.

Example Scenario

Super Bowl LVII (Eagles vs Chiefs):

  1. Touchdown: Jalen Hurts runs 2 yards into the endzone. (6 pts)
  2. Conversion: Jalen Hurts runs around the left end into the endzone. (2 pts)
  3. Result: OCTOPUS! Jalen Hurts scored all 8 points himself.

Betting Strategy

Most sportsbooks offer "Will there be an Octopus?" as a prop bet during major games (like the Super Bowl).

  • True Odds: Roughly +2500 (25/1).
  • Market Odds: Often +1400 (14/1).
  • Verdict: It is usually a "fun" bet with negative expected value (EV), unless you spot a specific matchup with aggressive coaches.

Info

Want to calculate the exact probability? We built a tool for this. Check the fair odds for today's game: 👉 Go to Octopus Probability Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions

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Evgeniy Volkov

Evgeny Volkov

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Math & Software Engineer, iGaming Expert

Over 10 years developing software for the gaming industry. Advanced degree in Mathematics. Specializing in probability analysis, RNG algorithms, and mathematical gambling models.

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