Kelly Criterion Calculator

Calculate the mathematically optimal bet size

Optimal Stake Size Edge Detection Risk Management

Decimal Odds

Implied probability: 50.00%

Your Win Probability %

%
✓ Edge

Your Bankroll

Example Scenarios

Kelly Recommendation

Your Edge

+10.00%

Kelly Fraction

10.00%

Full Kelly

$100.00

High Risk
Half Kelly (Recommended)

$50.00

Recommended
Quarter Kelly (Conservative)

$25.00

Safe

The Kelly Formula

f* = (bp - q) / b

b = odds - 1, p = win probability, q = 1 - p

Understanding Kelly Criterion

1

Find Your Edge

Estimate the true probability of winning. This requires research, analysis, and experience in your chosen sport or market.

2

Calculate Kelly

Enter the odds and your probability estimate. Kelly calculates what percentage of your bankroll to bet.

Choose Your Fraction

Full Kelly maximizes growth but has high variance. Half Kelly is recommended for smoother results.

Frequently Asked Questions

Free Kelly Criterion Calculator for Optimal Bet Sizing

Our Kelly Criterion calculator helps you determine the mathematically optimal bet size for any wager. Enter the odds and your estimated win probability to see exactly what percentage of your bankroll to bet.

The calculator shows Full Kelly, Half Kelly, and Quarter Kelly recommendations. Most professional bettors prefer Half Kelly for its balance of growth and risk management. The calculator instantly detects if you have positive expected value.

Kelly Criterion is proven to maximize long-term bankroll growth when used correctly. Our free calculator includes edge detection, multiple Kelly fractions, and works with any decimal odds. Essential for serious sports bettors.